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It's basically a shortcut for the more typical |23.r7 24.r5 25.u5 26.s7 27.u9 28.r9, except that it avoids allowing your opponent to get that R9 peg in there. That was a critical difference in my game against nie_wiesz, but in this case, thanks to that Medcalf-like sequence, it looks like it's just a clean shortcut.
But where I recognized that pattern, you seemed to respond instead to the pattern in the T8 - S9 - R11 lineup, where the strong responses are typically S8, S10, or U10.
After some further clicking around, I think that was your mistake. I think your high-level analysis was basically correct: you did trick her, you had the advantage, and you missed your chance to hold on to it. And you're right, it was a really nice sequence by Lucy, and a very good game overall.
-- 27.r7 28.q8
--++ 29.p10 30.r5
--++ 29.s5 30.p10 31.o10 32.q12 33.n13 34.k16 35.p14 36.p16 37.s18 38.r15 39.s14 40.s13
--27.u14 28.v15 is basically the same.
So it looks like Lucy could have won anyway after 23.u9. But white could have won with 17.p7 instead of n7.